Purveyors of finer speculative products since 2008; specializing in literate guesswork, slipshod argument, future games und so weiter

Thursday, April 3, 2008

Morrr Gorrrr

Intrade has Barack at 87, HRC at 14. Gore contracts are a steal at under 5! Honestly the last time I looked at a futures market BHO was in the low 30s...why am I not putting my money where my mouth is?

From across the universe, U.S. Rep. Tim Mahoney (D-Palm Beach Gardens, FL) :

If either Clinton or Obama suggested to a deadlocked convention a ticket of Gore-Clinton or Gore-Obama, the Democratic Party would accept it, Mahoney said.

Also:

Rasmussen ran a poll after Klein's article intended to debunk the Gore-as-healer plotline. Like a typical statistician, he/it/they invented a tool completely useless to the task at hand. Rasmussen's poll found Gore trailing Clinton and Obama in a three-way-race. Which is something that cannot happen. Rather than look for the favorable-unfavorables on tickets, Gore-Obama, Gore-Clinton and so on, dude just got his numbers and split.

Among those numbers: Gore 76% favorable among likely Democrats. I haven't got a national poll yet, but PA (Quinnipiac, 03/18/2008) is HRC 71%, BHO 61%.

Somewhere my grandfather is still saying, "A statistician is a man who can draw a straight line from a baseless assumption to a foregone conclusion."

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