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Monday, February 16, 2009

No Title, Just Revenge Via Mathematics

Quick backfill: the other day I wondered how Eric Cantor got House Republicans, some of whom must come from depressed districts, to vote in lockstep against the stimulus. I wondered, specifically, whose would be the heads to roll in 2010.

An Ohio blogger has a list of local 'Pubs who voted nay, along with the December 2008 county figures for each. So the Ohio Up Against the Wall List runs as follows, with a national average unemployment rate of 7.1, the winners are:

  • Robert Latta, 9.8

  • Steven LaTourette, 9.4

  • Jean Schmidt, 9.0

  • Jim Jordan, 8.5

  • ...with special mention to the most outspoken Ohioan, Minority Leader John Boehner, whose district sports a national-average-beating 7.7 percent unemployment rate. Congratulations, Mr. Leader!

    I'm slowly processing names and numbers for the National Up Against the Wall list, using the available numbers from BLS, broken down by MSA instead of county. By and large, it appears safe for Republicans to oppose the stimulus. Think for a second about the states conservative Republicans come from now. Utah, Idaho, Wyoming -- these places all have terrific employment rates, 97 or 98 percent.

    But the numbers don't lie. And I don't care what your Cook PVI rating is. Come 2010, we will ice you. That means you:

  • Wally Herger, California-2, 14.9% unemployment.

  • Devin Nunes, California-21, 14.2%

  • George Radanovich, California-19, 13.6%,

  • et alia. You are Republicans from districts with higher unemployment than Detroit. You have something like 21 percent underemployment. To sit about like the Pasha in grand decline, while your people agitate, this is the peak of foolishness...

    Just a warning. Republicans, don't be a statistic...

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